Expected

Expected Types

We calculate several different expected values. Find below the types with the description or their meaning.

ID	Name	Abbr.	Description
5304	EXPECTED_GOALS	xG	Measures the quality of scoring chances by estimating the probability of each shot resulting in a goal.
5305	EXPECTED_GOALS_ON_TARGET	xGoT	Measures the likelihood of shots on target resulting in goals based on their post-shot characteristics.
7939	EXPECTED_POINTS	xPTS	Estimates the number of points a team is expected to earn based on the quality of chances created and conceded.
7940	EXPECTED_GOALS_PENALTIES	pxG	The total expected goals value generated from penalties, with each penalty valued using its historical conversion probability.
7941	EXPECTED_GOALS_FREE_KICKS	xGFK	The total expected goals value generated from shots taken directly from free kicks.
7942	EXPECTED_GOALS_CORNERS	xGC	The total expected goals value generated from shots originating from corner situations.
7943	EXPECTED_NON_PENALTY_GOALS	npxG	The total expected goals value from all shots excluding penalties.
7944	EXPECTED_GOALS_SET_PLAY	xGSP	The total expected goals value generated from set-piece situations, excluding penalties.
7945	EXPECTED_GOALS_OPEN_PLAY	xGOP	The total expected goals value generated from shots during open play, excluding set pieces.
9684	EXPECTED_GOALS_DIFFERENCE	xGD	The difference between expected goals created (xG) and expected goals conceded (xGA). A positive value indicates a team creates better chances than it allows.
9685	SHOOTING_PERFORMANCE	SP	Measures goalkeeper performance by comparing expected goals conceded with actual goals conceded. Positive values indicate fewer goals conceded than expected.
9686	EXPECTED_GOALS_PREVENTED	xGP	Measures how many goals a goalkeeper prevents compared with expectations based on the post-shot quality of shots faced.
9687	EXPECTED_GOALS_AGAINST	xGA	Measures the quality of scoring chances conceded by summing the xG values of opponents’ shots.

You can find a full explanation of each value in our dedicated blog.