Expected

Expected Types

We calculate several different expected values. Find below the types with the description or their meaning.

ID	Name	Abbreviation	Description
5304	EXPECTED_GOALS	xG	Quantifies the quality of scoring chances based on various factors.
5305	EXPECTED_GOALS_ON_TARGET	xGoT	The probability of a shot on target resulting in a goal in football based on the post-shot model.
7939	EXPECTED_POINTS	xPTS	Assesses team performance based on the quality of chances created and conceded, predicting the expected points earned from fixtures.
7940	EXPECTED_GOALS_PENALTIES	xGP	The expected value of of scoring goals from penalties.
7941	EXPECTED_GOALS_FREE_KICKS	xGFK	The expected value of scoring goals from direct free-kick situations.
7942	EXPECTED_GOALS_CORNERS	xGC	The expected value of scoring goals from corner kicks.
7943	EXPECTED_NON_PENALTY_GOALS	npxG	The expected value of goals from open play and set-piece scenarios excluding penalties in football.
7944	EXPECTED_GOALS_SET_PLAY	xGSP	The expected value of scoring from set-piece situations like free kicks and corners in football.
7945	EXPECTED_GOALS_OPEN_PLAY	xGOP	The expected value of scoring from open play situations, excluding set pieces and penalties, in football.
9684	EXPECTED_GOALS_DIFFERENCE	xGD	Calculates the difference between a team's xG for and against.
9685	SHOOTING_PERFORMANCE	SP	Measures how well a team or player shoots. It compares the xGOT to the xG. When a team/player's xGOT surpasses its xG, it signifies its proficiency in taking higher-quality shots relative to the quality of the team's or player's chances.
9686	EXPECTED_GOALS_PREVENTED	xGP	Is used to assess a goalkeeper’s performance in preventing goals based on the quality of shots faced. It measures how many goals a goalkeeper prevents compared to what would be expected based on the quality of chances conceded.
9687	EXPECTED_GOALS_AGAINST	xGA	Calculates the expected number of goals a team is expected to concede based on the quality of scoring opportunities their opponents create.

You can find a full explanation of each value in our dedicated blog.