Predictions

In this last tutorial, we’re going to discuss our Prediction API. We offer the prediction API as a separate add-on. Meaning you will need to have a plan with this add-on to have access to our prediction model. We’re going to discuss what you can do with the prediction API and how it works.

It’s important to note that we only use machine learning for both models to ensure the most accurate and reliable predictions.

But first, what is included in our prediction API add-on?

Prediction model

Using advanced machine learning techniques and historical data, our model accurately predicts the outcomes of future football matches, considering various factors such as team form, player injuries, head-to-head records, and more.

In addition to that, we also incorporate the player contribution model, which further enhances the accuracy of the predictions. By analysing the performance of individual players and their impact on the team, we can better understand how they’ll contribute to the match’s final outcome. This model takes into account various metrics, such as the player’s recent form, their position, and their contribution to the team’s overall performance.

With our predictions API, you’ll have access to a vast range of markets, including match-winner, double chance, total goals, and beyond. We’re constantly improving our model, adding new features to ensure you have access to the most accurate and up-to-date predictions possible.

Probabilities are available 21 days before the match starts.

It can happen that the model has not enough data about one or both teams to provide an accurate prediction. In this case, the "Prediction Status" metadata of the fixture will contain the value {"predictable":false} and predictions for the fixture will not be available.

Value bet model

The Value Bet model processes thousands of historical odds data and market trends to find the best value opportunities. In other words: it compares bookmakers’ odds with each other and then gives you the best value bookmaker.

Using our value bet model, you can access valuable insights into the best bets, which can help you make better decisions. We continuously improve our model and test it by analysing past odds and value bets to make sure it works correctly.

Please note that our algorithm detects value bets based on all available odds in combination with the fair odd calculated by the value bet algorithm. Therefore, not every match has a value bet available.

All three models and algorithms are based on four key principles:

Timely and substantive: The prediction API is updated daily with the latest data from the Sportmonks Football Database. Data controlled: No human intervention is needed. The prediction API runs on statistical analysis results based on the entire historical Sportmonks Football Database. Precise probabilities: The prediction API offers the most precise probabilities possible, thanks to our mathematical probability distribution models. Predictability performance: We monitor our prediction API's success rate and quality, but you can also track our predictions’ performance. Machine Learning: We use cross-validation machine learning models.